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작성일 2011-12-02 19:10:17 KST 조회 248
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Saturday, the 26th of November

[image loading]SK Telecom T1 vs Team 8


Since this is the first week, the maps are unplayed, and noone has played yet so that we can’t assess their condition, it’s especially hard to call the headliner match of this season. While only one team has a name that demands respect (or a proper name at all), the lineups of both teams are so formidable, certainty has to be done away with entirely. However, there have been some clues. Bisu went on record, claiming the maps are bad for Protoss, and SKT is very Protoss heavy, and the rest of their lineup is largely either snipers or Fantasy, who is pretty known to be unreliable. Snipers tend not to do well at the beginning of a season, since it’s hard to prepare for someone’s strategy that you haven’t seen in action yet, and on top of that, the coach of Team 8 hasn’t been active for years and has a certain unpredictability. On top of that, SKT’s 2 race coaches went to the army recently, and there has been no talk of replacements yet, which is a worrying sign for SKT1. But in the end of the day, I still expect Bunkie to take a happy bow, since newly formed teams tend to do badly at the beginning of the season. CJ-s performance at the beginning of the last season was pretty lacklustre, although after it merged with Sparkyz, it became an enormous powerhouse. All of Team 8 saw a change in their schedules and it will probably show in their play. Also, SKT’s coach is pretty good at picking his lineup, especially at the beginning of the season. When your team goes through the entirety of the first round undefeated, the coaches picks must have had some influence.
Predicted result: SKT 3-1 Team 8

[image loading]KT Rolster vs Air Force ACE[image loading]


Similar to Team 8, I think ACE will have difficulty utilizing it’s new players, especially since both Kal and Great had long slumps preceding their new haircuts. KT Rolster should probably comfortably win, but will likely drop one set to the maps. Weirdly enough, I’m actually less certain of this result than of the result of SKT vs. Team 8, since KT can really flunk at the beginning of the season, the new players have to find their place in the team, the KT coach seems pretty bad at sniping, and 2 of their mainstays recently must have had long breaks in their training schedule. Let’s say KT Rolster 3-2 Air Force ACE, but I feel like it might be giving the boys in blue a bit too much credit.


Sunday, the 27th of November

[image loading]CJ Entus vs STX SouL[image loading]


I don’t see CJ losing this match or even a set. 3-0 CJ Entus, no idea if they’ll be able to play Effort within that time.

[image loading]Samsung KHAN vs Woongjin Stars[image loading]


Woongjin Stars is the team that can either win big or flop entirely this season, thanks to generally inconsistent players that have a lot of promise. The chimera consisting of Light, ZerO and Neo.G_Soulkey is a huge threat to any team, and the lack of an Ace match promises good things for Woongjin, as their players just didn’t perform to the fullest of their abilities in set 7. There was even talk of a Woongjin "Ace match curse“, and free becoming worse and worse the moment he lost an Ace Match to then unappreciated Hydra shows there might have been some truth to it. Samsung KHAN benefits from a lack of Ace Match as well, as January really did have odd Ace Match choices last season. Samsung KHAN is a lot more rounded this year, and Jangbi’s new heights are as of yet unexplored. Will Jangbi usher in a new age of Protoss dominance with his brother Stork? What will become of the KHAN Terrans now that the Zerg line is no longer a joke? Will the cell-phone jokes ever stop? I think the answers are "No“, "will probably be used as snipers“ and "Sweet mercyful god, will they ever end “, but the edge the KHAN team now possesses should allow them to win. Samsung KHAN 3-2 Woongjin Stars.

Tuesday, the 29th of November

Team 8 vs KT Rolster[image loading]


Team 8 is sexy and they know it (please no wiggling, Leta in a jumpsuit was quite enough), but KT is still the reigning champion. This match will be very close, and on top of that, if we’re lucky, we might get a "Leessangrok" (a Jaedong vs. Flash game). Since fewer than 4 days will have passed from the first matches, the results might cause kneejerk reactions for both teams, but also open up sniping opportunities with greater degrees of success. I have to with my gut here, but I think Team 8 will be victorious by a slight margin. The KT coach tends to put a lot of trust in players that can break down mentally very quickly, and Team 8 consists of players that are comfortable with pressure thanks to serving as team Aces earlier. Still, it should be close. Team 8 3-2 KT Rolster

Wednesday, the 30th of November

[image loading]CJ Entus vs Air Force ACE[image loading]



If ACE had trouble with KT, they’ll probably dread CJ even more. CJ is terrifyingly good at sniping and ACE-s lineup is the most limited thanks to having such a small number of players. Filling that limited roster with players like Chavi and Canata doesn’t really help. The new recruits Kal and great were inspired by the Air Force resurrections of FBH and ggaemo, but it is hard to tell whether lightning can really strike more than twice. My gut says "probably not.“ CJ Entus is the favorite team by a long shot. Even if we exclude the sniping, CJ can field players with 60% winrates for all 5 sets, has 3 recent starleague finalists, 2 recent Starleague winners, and a lot more guys playtesting the maps with them. CJ should demolish ACE 3-0.

 

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